Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.006389 0.007153 0.007985 0.008959 0.010071 0.011305 0.012781
2025-02-16 0.005194 0.006244 0.007484 0.009064 0.011037 0.013437 0.016601
2025-02-23 0.004437 0.005584 0.007011 0.008935 0.011487 0.014793 0.019461
2025-03-02 0.003999 0.005224 0.006815 0.009063 0.012199 0.016486 0.022908
2025-03-09 0.003599 0.004848 0.006532 0.009003 0.012605 0.017763 0.025899
2025-03-16 0.003178 0.004392 0.006078 0.008635 0.012499 0.018259 0.027760
2025-03-23 0.002923 0.004138 0.005873 0.008590 0.012842 0.019428 0.030782
2025-03-30 0.002821 0.004091 0.005957 0.008973 0.013867 0.021755 0.035993
2025-04-06 0.002568 0.003795 0.005639 0.008694 0.013796 0.022289 0.038200
2025-04-13 0.002358 0.003546 0.005369 0.008462 0.013769 0.022877 0.040563
2025-04-20 0.002220 0.003398 0.005244 0.008450 0.014105 0.024118 0.044296
2025-04-27 0.002156 0.003362 0.005292 0.008731 0.014976 0.026408 0.050384
2025-05-04 0.002019 0.003200 0.005130 0.008647 0.015206 0.027593 0.054558
2025-05-11 0.001921 0.003098 0.005061 0.008723 0.015750 0.029457 0.060510
2025-05-18 0.001801 0.002947 0.004893 0.008601 0.015893 0.030534 0.064905
2025-05-25 0.001730 0.002876 0.004859 0.008723 0.016526 0.032691 0.072143
2025-06-01 0.001639 0.002762 0.004739 0.008667 0.016788 0.034091 0.077833
2025-06-08 0.001513 0.002578 0.004478 0.008314 0.016396 0.034011 0.079839
2025-06-15 0.001440 0.002485 0.004379 0.008271 0.016656 0.035424 0.085933
2025-06-22 0.001426 0.002498 0.004478 0.008638 0.017848 0.039149 0.098946
2025-06-29 0.001334 0.002361 0.004279 0.008370 0.017592 0.039390 0.102337
2025-07-06 0.001254 0.002242 0.004109 0.008149 0.017418 0.039809 0.106333
2025-07-13 0.001204 0.002176 0.004039 0.008137 0.017732 0.041497 0.114462